Free Ebook Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics in Python

Free Ebook Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics in Python

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Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics in Python

Free Ebook Think Bayes: Bayesian Statistics in Python

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About the Author

Allen Downey is a Professor of Computer Science at the Olin College of Engineering. He has taught computer science at Wellesley College, Colby College and U.C. Berkeley. He has a Ph.D. in Computer Science from U.C. Berkeley and Master’s and Bachelor’s degrees from MIT.

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Product details

Paperback: 214 pages

Publisher: O'Reilly Media; 1 edition (October 4, 2013)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1449370780

ISBN-13: 978-1449370787

Product Dimensions:

7 x 0.4 x 9.2 inches

Shipping Weight: 12.6 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.0 out of 5 stars

25 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#70,019 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Should you buy this book given that the only other review as of this time is a negative review (based on the lack of a table of contents)? Hmm, that is exactly the sort of decision analysis that is covered by this book. Should you wait for the next train or catch a taxi instead? Or what about the classic Monty Hall problem where there is car hidden behind one of three doors in a TV game show? The contestant picks a door, but prior to opening it, the host opens another door which does not contain the car and then offers the contestant the opportunity to 'stick' to his current selection or 'switch' to the other door. Should the contestant 'stick' or 'switch'? Bayes's Theorem provides a rationale for making this decision and this book covers all of this and more.This is a great book and a good introduction to the application of Bayes's Theorem in a number of scenarios. The theoretical aspects are well accessible and the Python code is sufficiently clear. This is not an introduction to Python and readers should be relatively familiar with Python or other high level languages to make the most out of this book.The PDF for the book is freely available from Green Tea Press. If you are concerned about the lack of a table of contents in the mobi version, get the paper copy until this is resolved... I would highly recommend it.

This is one of several introductory level books written by Dr. Downey recently. All of them are excellent.In this book, he gives a clear introduction to Bayesian analysis using well through out examples and Python code. There is a small amount of math. He makes very effective use of probability density functions, cumulative distribution functions, and simulations.He provides multiple examples of model development, including design, testing, and analysis.The book is appropriate and effective for self study. Highly recommended.

This book is really great in the regards of the concept it teaches and the examples it displays them in. A good book if you are interested in Data Science from a technical aspect, but do not have a strong statistical understanding. What I did not like about the book is that the code is outdated so be prepared to be looking for fixes to the code

Great book to simplify the Bayes process. It goes into basic detail as a real how-to. This is not an academic text but a book to teach how to use Bayes for everyday problems.

I like the chance to follow the examples with the help of the website for data.It might be nice to provide solutions using R

The book is pretty good in explaining the basic idea behind Bayesian approach. You must know some probability theory to understand it. However, with more complicated examples, the author suggests his Python code instead of explanation, and ask us not to worry, because the code (which we can download if we want) is working.

Great book, the sample code is easy to use. Only complaint is that the code is python 2.7 compliant and not 3.x

It isn't a deep treatment of the subject but it gives working examples to help with basic ideas. Not a production ready line of code for serious work but useful.

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PDF Download Miller's Dance: A Novel of Cornwall, 1812-1813 (The Poldark Novels), by Winston Graham

PDF Download Miller's Dance: A Novel of Cornwall, 1812-1813 (The Poldark Novels), by Winston Graham

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Miller's Dance: A Novel of Cornwall, 1812-1813 (The Poldark Novels), by Winston Graham

PDF Download Miller's Dance: A Novel of Cornwall, 1812-1813 (The Poldark Novels), by Winston Graham

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A novel from the Poldark series, originally published in 1983, in which the Poldark and Warleggan families find themselves thrust into a turbulent new era, with the uneasy political situation at home providing complications for Ross and Demelza Poldark and their children.

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Product details

Series: The Poldark Novels

Hardcover: 415 pages

Publisher: Wm Collins & Sons & Co; 1st Edition edition (October 1, 1982)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 000222674X

ISBN-13: 978-0002226745

Package Dimensions:

8.3 x 5.8 x 1.5 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.3 pounds

Average Customer Review:

4.7 out of 5 stars

187 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#745,029 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I held my breath a lot during this book and muttered phrases like "don't go down the mine alone!" and "don't listen to him!" I guess I've come to care about these characters, perhaps a little too much. It is because I was emotionally invested in the outcome and the writing is superb that I gave this book 4 stars instead of 3. I couldn't give it 5 stars because it wasn't quite as engaging as some of the others. Ross and Demelza serve as patriarch and matriarch and have maintained their wit and affection for each other. They have several sweet moments. Stephen Carrington who seems not quite honorable, but not quite roguish, shows some selflessness in a relationship with a woman in which he has nothing to gain. As much as his character makes me uncomfortable, I am still intrigued by him. I wanted to see more Valentine--he's very friendly and outgoing and seems quite charming but also completely self-centered and hedonistic. I enjoyed hearing of Geoffrey Charles, but wanted him to come home to Cornwall already!

The best of the Poldark series books are 1-7. 8 and 9 are more about Ross n Demelza’s children. They are interesting characters but you don’t take them into your heart like Ross and Demelza. Also, too much technical info about steam engines.

While I am STILL enjoying the series and am one of a few reviewers who are glad of the generational shift in the saga, I am very peeved at Clowance for EVER having been even tempted by Stephen. Furthermore I am SO disappointed in Jeremy's shenanigans. But even though this book ends with a pall hanging over their heads, Graham's writing is still making me turn pages quickly to find out what happens. I will now read book 10. I am so glad I purchased all 12 in the series! I recommend any lover of English historical romantic fiction to buy this series....because you WILL want to own it!

I am nearing the end of the "A Novel of Cornwall" series of 12 books. I watched the original Poldark series decades ago and recently watched it again. These latter books go beyond the TV series and focus primarily on Ross and Demelza's two eldest children and their loves. If you make it this far in the series, this will not disappoint you. Always a page turner.

This is the 10th novel in the Poldark series. It is a beautifully written and engaging novel that is historically correct using fictional characters. It is very hard to put down. I heartily recommend the whole series. Although the BBC series is excellent, the novels can more thoroughly delve into the characters and their lives.

I've enjoyed the entire Poldark series and will hate to come to the end. The later books seem to include more background on the political climate of the time and I do find myself brushing over some of this to get back to the interactions between the characters, which is what I find most compelling, but overall I find the books extremely well-written and very readable.

I've read the Poldark series in the order they were written and each one is such a good read. You must read from the beginning in order to know the characters as each novel follows story lines created in the previous ones. Really a good series and the Miller's Dance was another good book!

I have read all the books up to the Miller Dance #9. Continuing the saga of the Poldarks and their children, who are grown now and falling in love. Ross and Demelza are still my main interest. Their are only 3 more books after this one. I will hopefully finish all of them.

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Free Download The Life of the Lakes, 4th Ed.: A Guide to the Great Lakes Fishery

Free Download The Life of the Lakes, 4th Ed.: A Guide to the Great Lakes Fishery

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The Life of the Lakes, 4th Ed.: A Guide to the Great Lakes Fishery

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Review

“I have found The Life of the Lakes to be the best source to turn to for the questions that I have about the Great Lakes fishery. The illustrations and the environmental information are appreciated by everyone, but what I value most is the balance of information about the commercial, tribal, and sport fishery, and why we have the system that is in place today.” —Amanda Holmes, Executive Director, Fishtown Preservation Society, Leland, MI

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About the Author

Brandon C. Schroeder and Dan M. O'Keefe are educators for the Great Lakes Fisheries Education and Management Program at Michigan Sea Grant.Shari L. Dann is Associate Professor in the Department of Community Sustainability at Michigan State University.

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Product details

Paperback: 136 pages

Publisher: UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN REGIONAL; 4th edition (May 24, 2019)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0472037218

ISBN-13: 978-0472037216

Product Dimensions:

8.5 x 11 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.1 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

Be the first to review this item

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#445,249 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

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Free Ebook ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life

Free Ebook ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life

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ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life

Free Ebook ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life

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Review

“The ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible is a unique resource blending biblical, systematic, and practical theological insights to help us understand what the Bible teaches about grace and personal change.”―Timothy Keller, Founding Pastor, Redeemer Presbyterian Church, New York City“I spent years blind that the gospel story was threading through all of Scripture and the Bible came to life when I got that truth. The ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible shows Jesus and the gospel everywhere, and will empower your heart for Jesus, your love for the gospel, and your ability to share it with others.”―Charlie Hall, Worship and Liturgy Pastor, Frontline Church, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma“The ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible is a wonderful tool that can help you read the Bible the way it should be read: as a unified whole, and with a thirst for life transformation. I can‘t wait to use it in our family devotions and to give a copy to my pastor.”―Andreas J. Köstenberger, Director of the Center for Biblical Studies and Research Professor of New Testament and Biblical Theology, Midwestern Baptist Theological Seminary; Founder, Biblical Foundations“The ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible contains invaluable resources for helping us understand how God’s power in the gospel shapes every moment of our lives.”―Gloria Furman, author, Missional Motherhood and Treasuring Christ When Your Hands Are Full“This is a seminary education packed into one book.”―Justin Buzzard, Lead Pastor, Garden City Church, Silicon Valley; author, Date Your Wife and The Big Story

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Product details

Hardcover: 2096 pages

Publisher: Crossway (February 28, 2019)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1433563592

ISBN-13: 978-1433563591

Product Dimensions:

6.3 x 2.3 x 9.4 inches

Shipping Weight: 3.5 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.8 out of 5 stars

14 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#9,264 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I just received this Bible recently. I love how it ties in the Old Testament with the new. You are able to see the big picture, the story of redemption from start to finish. “Every text relates some aspect of God’s redeeming grace that finds its fullest expression in Christ”. The gospel is woven throughout.I’m so excited about what I’ve learned and will learn as I read through this Bible.

In Bryan Chapell's classic homlietics book Christ-Centered Preaching, Chapell, a Presbyterian scholar, claims that "Christ-centered" exposition does not necessarily mean magically finding Christ on every page but showing how every passage points to Christ. This is the goal of the ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible (Crossway, 2019). For many, it is difficult to read the story of the Bible—which many argue points to Christ—without understanding its fullness. Enter this new study Bible.This Bible includes over 375,000 study notes with the sole purpose of pointing toward Christ's work in the New Testament. Additionally, there are over 50 articles written by respected scholars on the nature of covenant and the Gospel. As is standard in most study Bibles, this also includes introductions to each book, a concordance, and cross-references. This Bible is formatted in single-column paragraphs, which makes for a pleasant reading experience; however, one wonders if the margins are too narrow for unencumbered scanning. The text size (9 pt for the Bible, 8 pt for the notes) is the perfect size for most readers.With a beautiful hardcover quasi-marble design, this Bible is an excellent tool for those who are seeking further clarity into finding how each passage points to Christ. While written from a pan-Reformed position, much of its insights are applicable to a larger evangelical audience. This Bible uses the English Standard Version as its translation, a respected, word-for-word (formal equivalence) rendering. For those who are seeking the Good News through the whole Bible, look no further. The ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible might just be the perfect on-ramp for you.(A complimentary review copy was given in exchange for an honest review.)

This review is for the hardcover edition of the Gospel Transformation Study Bible.The dust jacket on this Bible is very nice looking with the blue and white design and the Bible looks even nicer when the dust jacket is removed and you can see the blue and white design on the cover, the head and tail bands are blue and white which match the cover colors. The Bibles does come with a silver colored ribbon marker to keep your place. The binding has sewn signatures so this Bible will hold up to years of use. The single column layout is easy to read, the letters for the cross references are a bit small for my eyes and are hard to see but the references themselves I can see. The study notes are in a double column format. The layout of the Bible is nicely done.The study notes are all Christ and Gospel centered and will help you to learn how the Bible ultimately points to Jesus and that we all need a redeemer. I really enjoy the notes and it is neat to see things that point to Jesus that you may not have picked up on otherwise. This Bible also contains book introductions, some great articles as well as a topical index, concordance and maps. This Bible is not line matched so there will be some ghosting but it is not bad due to the paper being opaque and it does not distract me when reading this Bible.I would recommend this Bible to a new believer or a seasoned Christian as well. The ESV is an excellent translation. I hope this review helps if you're considering this Bible.I received this copy from the publisher in exchange for an honest review.

I love, love, love this Study Bible published by Crossway Publishers. First, the print of both the Scripture and the Footnotes are easy enough to read. I love the cover design which is perfect for a man or woman. There are maps, and sections for personal information (ex. marriages, deaths, …) and a ribbon to hold the reader’s place. At the beginning of each book, information is given for author and date, how the Gospel ties into that book of the Bible, and an outline for that book. I also feel this hardback book is very durable. I read the book of Ruth and found it comfortable and sound reading. This Bible lays flat which makes it perfect as a study tool.The only thing I didn’t like was the scripture references in the sidebar. They were not big enough even with my glasses on. I believe if that print was just a little bigger it would be easier to read and still not take away from the text. However, I do like that the references are in the sidebar instead of the middle of the page, or at the bottom.Would I recommend this Bible? Yes! It’s perfect for YA – Adults!Disclaimer: I receive complimentary books from various sources, including, publishers, publicists, authors, and/or NetGalley. I am not required to write a positive review and have not received any compensation. The opinions shared here are my own entirely. I am disclosing this in accordance with the Federal Trade Commission’s 16 CFR, Part 255

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ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life PDF

ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life PDF

ESV Gospel Transformation Study Bible: Christ in All of Scripture, Grace for All of Life PDF

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